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Post an analysis, argue about which failed pillar is acceptable, and find out where your reasoning is thin.
Reminder on this week's live session: bring a company where you think a failed pillar is acceptable, and be ready to defend why. That argument is the whole exercise.
Adobe passes seven of eight for me — only the P/E pillar fails at current prices. Cash conversion is the part I keep coming back to: 37% FCF margin on subscription revenue is unusual.
Working through Oracle and the debt-to-FCF number stopped me. Long-term debt at that level against current free cash flow is more than five years of cash to clear. Am I reading this the way the pillar intends?
Ran a duplex through the calculator this morning. It cleared the 1% rule but cash-on-cash came in under 5% once I put management at 10% instead of self-managing. Worth being honest about your own time.
Nike's share count is down almost 2% a year for a decade and revenue growth has flattened. Curious how others weigh buybacks when the top line has stalled.
Posted a full write-up on Alibaba in the research section. Short version: the cash flow supports the valuation, the governance structure is the part you have to be comfortable with.
Changed my withdrawal rate assumption from 4% to 3.5% and the target number moved by almost $400K. Small input, large output — worth stress-testing before you commit to a retirement date.
New here. Intel fails almost every pillar in the analyzer and I want to understand whether that is the screen working correctly or me using it wrong on a turnaround.
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