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Analyst estimates

Forward forecasts beside each company's own five-year record — because the comparison is what makes an estimate useful.

Estimates are modelled for this demo

Forward figures are derived from each company's own trajectory with a growth fade applied, which approximates how sell-side consensus behaves in aggregate. In production this table reads from a consensus provider.

Forward estimates

Sorted by the gap between the forecast and the trailing record.

Analyst estimates compared with trailing five-year growth
CompanyPricePillars5yr actual growthNext year estimateGap vs historyEst. revenueEst. EPS
NVDANVDANVIDIA Corporation$213.056/8+58.83%+51.77%-7.1%$197.77B$4.47
AMDAMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.$479.184/8+16.85%+14.83%-2.0%$29.73B$1.09
METAMETAMeta Platforms, Inc.$570.056/8+16.20%+14.26%-1.9%$185.35B$29.84
MSFTMSFTMicrosoft Corporation$491.716/8+13.78%+12.12%-1.7%$279.07B$14.17
GOOGGOOGLAlphabet Inc.$346.966/8+13.53%+11.91%-1.6%$400.43B$10.23
ADBEADBEAdobe Inc.$273.927/8+12.53%+11.03%-1.5%$24.49B$16.57
CRMCRMSalesforce, Inc.$205.695/8+12.12%+10.67%-1.5%$42.42B$6.53
AMZNAMZNAmazon.com, Inc.$261.065/8+12.03%+10.59%-1.4%$717.99B$5.88
UNHUNHUnitedHealth Group Incorporated$396.597/8+11.94%+10.50%-1.4%$458.99B$19.28
VVVisa Inc.$384.146/8+10.86%+9.56%-1.3%$40.82B$12.09
MAMAMastercard Incorporated$599.376/8+10.70%+9.42%-1.3%$29.44B$13.55
COSTCOSTCostco Wholesale Corporation$960.015/8+7.04%+6.19%-0.8%$258.63B$17.82
CATCATCaterpillar Inc.$811.296/8+6.10%+5.37%-0.7%$67.87B$22.26
AAPLAAPLApple Inc.$309.906/8+5.77%+5.08%-0.7%$398.64B$6.46
QCOMQCOMQUALCOMM Incorporated$160.568/8+5.65%+4.97%-0.7%$40.50B$9.34
HDHDThe Home Depot, Inc.$337.886/8+4.51%+3.97%-0.5%$159.53B$13.66
NKENKENIKE, Inc.$39.488/8+4.33%+3.81%-0.5%$54.18B$4.00
MCDMCDMcDonald's Corporation$268.105/8+2.78%+2.44%-0.3%$25.88B$12.32

Reading the gap column. A small gap means the forecast continues what the business has already been doing, which is the easiest kind of estimate to believe. A large positive gap is a forecast of acceleration, and someone should be able to say what causes it — a new product, a cycle turning, a competitor leaving. A large negative gap is a forecast of deterioration, which is worth understanding before you buy the dip.